If your ‘exit strategy’ is everything, then do nothing

Tom Davis posted this this morning:

I thought Robert Gates was a neocon and MSM reviews of his memoirs seemed to confirm it. I was wrong. This past weekend I read the former defense secretary’s book and was startled to read things like this:

“Wars are a lot easier to get into than out of. Those who ask about exit strategies or question what will happen if assumptions prove wrong are rarely welcome at the conference table when the fire-breathers are demanding that we strike — as they did when advocating invading Iraq, intervening in Libya and Syria, or bombing Iran’s nuclear sites. But in recent decades, presidents confronted with tough problems abroad have too often been too quick to reach for a gun. Our foreign and national security policy has become too militarized, the use of force too easy for presidents.”

Those aren’t the words of a neocon. My apologies, Mr. Gates…

First, I don’t know where Tom ever got the idea that Robert Gates was a neo-anything. Or paleo-, either. As I’ve said so often, Gates was always the most professional of public servants. To label him with any ideology, one you like or don’t like, is to do him a disservice.

That said, I can certainly see what Tom Davis liked about that passage. But I see it as the view of the public servant who has to carry out the policies that the politicians initiate. You can see how such a person might develop a jaundiced view of political machismo.

A word, though, about “exit strategies.” It’s OK if you ask, in private councils, “What’s our exit strategy?” But if your exit strategy is your entire strategy, and most especially if you’re going in with a publicly stated exit strategy — worse, a stated date — then you most certainly should not commit military forces.

Of course, that would be pleasing to Tom, and others of his inclination, such as Rand Paul and, for that matter, Dennis Kucinich and maybe Tom Hayden, back in the day.

If you do commit militarily, then the world — particularly your adversaries — needs to believe that you will stay until your goals are achieved — 100 years, if necessary. Remember how ballistic the anti-war folk went when John McCain said something along those lines about Iraq in 2008? Well, he was right, as recent events demonstrate.

I have a problem with sending people in to get killed in a cause that you are committed to abandoning at a set future time — which is what Americans tend to mean when they say “exit strategy.”

4 thoughts on “If your ‘exit strategy’ is everything, then do nothing

  1. Doug Ross

    Or you just change the goals, announce “mission accomplished”, and get out.

    Have we achieved any of the goals for Iraq and Afghanistan?

    Reply
  2. Brad Warthen Post author

    In Iraq, we had, until we pulled out completely, thereby encouraging chaos to flow into the vacuum.

    In Afghanistan, we achieved the main goals almost immediately — toppling the Taliban, eliminating a safe haven for al Qaeda — but have been struggling to KEEP them out of power ever since. The best way to get them to come back to power completely, of course, is to leave.

    Do I know exactly what to do about Afghanistan? Nope. It’s an extremely complex problem, surrounded by other extremely complex problems.

    But I don’t think our policy should be driven by the American desire not to be bothered by such problems.

    Reply
  3. Bill

    There’s a big difference between what people say(write) and do,especially when they’re looking to make big bucks on a book.Tom and Brad are a little too easily impressed.

    Reply
  4. bud

    Brad, John McCain has never been right about anything since about 2000. Certainly not about Iraq. This is the war that future historians will marvel about when they try to determine exactly what we were trying to accomplish. Remember this is the same guy who picked Sarah Palin as his running mate. McCain likes war and doesn’t seem to consider the costs. That’s why his whole political agenda seems obsolete today. He just doesn’t evolve.

    It’s a good thing the GOP seems to be going libertarian with fewer neo-cons than ever before. Even if they win all branches of government we can at least take some comfort in knowing that whatever hardships they impose on the American 99% at least it is unlikely they will ever be waging a useless foreign war any time soon.

    Reply

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